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What the smartest AI says about Trump’s Tariffs

CriticalMynd
9 min readApr 6, 2025

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The Trump tariff war has begun (again), but this time it’s not just hitting the US economy hard, it’s hitting the entire world and everyone seems to be affected, including those with savings and investments in the stock market.

The news keeps coming and analysts are predicting and looking back at history to predict the future. But what does AI have to say? What does it expect to happen next?

I asked the smartest models out there, and here are the answers that could help you make a decision (or not).

Disclaimer
This discussion is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Always perform your own research and consider consulting with a qualified professional before making any decisions.

Let’s see what the AI giants are saying about the Trump trade war. To avoid hallucinations, I gave them a full picture from the Trump tariff news coverage of the past few weeks. I used Perplexity and Tavily to do this.

#1 OpenAI o1

Here are the most likely scenarios to happen next (in the immediate to near term following the April 5th baseline tariff implementation), with realistic probabilities:

Scenario 1: Partial Walk-Backs & Negotiated…

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